The October to December climate outlook, issued 13 September 2018, indicates large parts of Australia are likely to be drier than average.
October shows a strong likelihood of drier conditions across most of the country. However, the outlook for the eastern seaboard is different, with no strong indication of either a wetter or drier month.
October to December days and nights are likely to be warmer than average for all of Australia.
A drier and warmer-than-average end to the year would mean a low chance of recovery for drought-affected areas of eastern Australia.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are currently neutral. However, current observations and model outlooks indicate El Niño and a positive IOD could develop in spring. See the Climate Influences section for more information.
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